Sunday, 17 August 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
EUR/USD dives as scorching US PPI kills hopes for jumbo Fed cut
Friday, 15 August 2025 04:58 WIB | EUR/USD |EUROPE

EUR/USD dives sharply on Thursday as the latest inflation report in the United States (US) caught traders off guard, who were betting on a slim chance of a 50 basis points (bps) Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September. Currently, the pair trades at 1.1638, down 0.57%.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) in headline and core prints accelerated sharply, mainly influenced by higher tariff levels imposed by the US. Meanwhile, jobs data showed that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits dipped compared to the previous reading, as revealed by the Department of Labor (DoL).

Consequently, market participants had taken off the table the possibility of a jumbo rate cut. Instead, they're pricing in a slim chance that the Fed might hold rates unchanged at the September 16-17 meeting.

After the data, some Fed officials crossed the wires. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said that inflation is running close to 3%, adding that tariffs are feeding through inflation. The Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said that business sentiment had picked up, but not in terms of hiring.

In the Eurozone, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures came in as expected, though Industrial Production tanked in June, influenced by a dip in Germany and weak consumer goods production.

Despite the ongoing weakness shown in today's data, further EUR/USD upside is seen. The Fed is expected to cut rates in September, while most economists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep rates unchanged. The reduction of the interest rate differential between the US and the bloc would strengthen the Euro.

On Friday, the European Union (EU) economic docket will be absent. In the US, the schedule will feature Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and the University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment index.

Source: Fxstreet

RELATED NEWS
EUR/USD gains after mixed US data, focus shifts to Trump–Putin meeting...
Saturday, 16 August 2025 03:58 WIB

EUR/USD reverses its course, climbs on Friday, ignoring solid US Retail Sales data due to market participants still pricing in a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September. The pair trades at 1.1702,...

EUR/USD rises towards 1.1700 on soft US CPI, Fed rate-cut bets increase...
Wednesday, 13 August 2025 05:04 WIB

The EUR/USD rises during the North American session, following the release of mixed inflation figures in the United States (US) and US President Donald Trump's threats to sue the Fed Chair Jerome Powe...

EUR/USD edges lower on CPI caution, Italy inflation dips below ECB target...
Tuesday, 12 August 2025 06:09 WIB

The EUR/USD edges lower on Monday, down 0.26% as the Greenback is bought by traders ahead of another inflation report in the United States (US) coming Tuesday. This, along with Italy's revelation that...

EUR/USD Holds Around 1.1650 Due To Cautious Tone Surrounding ECB Outlook ...
Monday, 11 August 2025 09:56 WIB

EUR/USD strengthened slightly after posting losses in the previous session, trading around 1.1650 during the Asian session on Monday (August 11th). The pair was supported by a strengthening euro (EUR)...

EUR/USD trades near weekly high as USD faces weekly loss on Fed bets, geopolitical hopes...
Saturday, 9 August 2025 03:57 WIB

The EUR/USD consolidates near the week's highs, shy of testing the 1.1700 figure on a week in whichthe US Dollar is poised to finish the week with over 1.84% losses against its peers. The hangover of ...

LATEST NEWS
Trump and Putin joint press conference ends with no deal

United States (US) President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin concluded an initial face-to-face meeting in Alaska late Friday, with both parties delivering mutually inconclusive statements. Trump and Putin both delivered vague...

Gold steadies ahead of Trump–Putin summit as US Dollar slips

Gold price (XAU/USD) holds firm during the North American session as market participants await the outcome of the meeting between US President Donald Trump and his counterpart, Russian President Vladimir Putin. Traders shrugged off in-line US...

Oil settled nearly $1 lower as Trump-Putin talks loom

Oil prices closed down nearly $1 on Friday as traders awaited talks between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin, which could lead to an easing of the sanctions imposed on Moscow over the war in Ukraine. Brent crude...

POPULAR NEWS
US Retail Sales Expected to Rise Further in July, Ahead of Tariff Hikes
Friday, 15 August 2025 13:06 WIB

The U.S. Census Bureau will release the country's Retail Sales report on Friday. Market analysts expect headline Retail Sales to grow 0.5% monthly...

Fed Chair Powell to speak Aug 22 amid speculation on rate cuts, replacement
Friday, 15 August 2025 05:24 WIB

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will give a speech on the economic outlook and the Fed's review of its policy framework next Friday at the...

Australia jobs report preview: Unemployment rate set to edge lower as job creation recovers
Thursday, 14 August 2025 06:02 WIB

Australia will release its July monthly employment report on Thursday at 1:30 GMT, following the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision to trim...

Fed's Daly says 50-point rate cut in September may not be warranted – WSJ
Thursday, 14 August 2025 17:46 WIB

A 50-basis point interest rate cut next month could potentially send the wrong signal to markets about the state of the U.S. labor market, San...